Pathaan Box Office Prediction - Hit or Flop

Pathaan is slated for release on 25th January 2023 and is easily one of the most anticipated movies of 2023. The film has reported historic advances so far at the box office and it is all set to take an earth-shattering opening on 25th January (Wednesday) now.

Shah Rukh Khan is making a comeback on the big screen after a long hiatus and looks like he is back with a bang. Below we have made a quick box office prediction of Pathaan considering all factors including advance bookings, trailer and teaser feedback and finally Republic day holiday factor.

Pathaan Box Office Prediction (India only) - 

Budget - INR 250 crores approx

First Day Box Office Collection - 40-45 crore nett

First Weekend (5 Days) Box Office Collection -

If Reports are Good - More than 180 crore nett approx

If Reports are Average - 140-180 crore nett approx

If Reports are Bad - Less than 140 crore nett approx

Lifetime Box Office Collection

If Reports are Good - More than 300-325 crore nett approx

If Reports are Average - 200-300 crore nett approx

If Reports are Bad - Less than 200 crore nett approx

Verdict for Pathaan

Flop (Flop/Disaster/All Time Disaster) - If collects less than 175 crore nett approx

Average (Below Average/Average/Above Average) - If collects 175-225 crore nett approx

HIT (Semi Hit/Hit/Super Hit/Blockbuster/ATBB) - If collects more than 225 crore nett approx

Our Prediction - Pathaan will do business in the region of 225-325 crore NBOC and it will emerge as a Hit or Super Hit

Do let us know your thoughts on the box office collection of Pathaan in the comment section below!


  1. What a biased prediction. Matlab kuch bhi , if reports good then 300-325 kuch bhi.
    My Prediction is, if reports good then it must be collected 350-400 crores.

    Zero jaisi movie jiska to koi buzz bhi nahi thaa Average se bhi kam thee usney 180 Cr kamaliye they aur Pathaan ka to itna achcha buzz hai phir bhi itna kam bata rahey hai. Lagta hai yeh website bhi Boycott gang ki line mein aagaya hai.

  2. If the budget is 250cr approx, then to be called a theatrical Hit, it needs to collect more than its budget?!!!

  3. I'm highly confident about Opening Day Number and As far as my calculation is concerned, Pathaan All India Advance Collection for All Languages and For 5 Day Extended Weekend will be around 57-58 Crore Nett.
    And the Opening Day Advance out of these 57-58 Crore Nett will be 27-28 Crore Nett.
    Using Extrapolation technique to calculate first day final Nett Business from this 27-28 Advance will be nearly 54-56 Crore Nett, All Indis, All Languages.

  4. As far 2nd Day of Pathaan is concerned, which is National Holiday of 26th January, there will be potential to earn huge collections.
    Advance for 26th January will be again in the range of 27-28 Crore but on that particular day, Spot booking will be muchore and hence Pathaan second day collections will be in the range of 63-65 Crore Nett, All India Business for All Languages.

    1. Correction...
      In the above mentioned comment, wanted to write much more in place of muchore

  5. Sorry to say. Despite all hype it is a cheap imitation of Mission impossible and may end up like Thugs of Hindustan. A big flop.

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