Simmba Box Office Prediction by Bobby, will it be a HIT or FLOP? Guest Post!

December 27, 2018

Simmba Box Office Prediction by Bobby, will it be a HIT or FLOP? Guest Post!

Guest Post is written by Bobby Sidhu
You can follow him on Twitter at https://twitter.com/BobbyS_BO

Simmba has been keenly awaited for several reasons. One, it marks the first-time combination of director Rohit Shetty with Ranveer Singh. Rohit Shetty is one of the most successful filmmakers in India, and Ranveer Singh is one of the top young stars. Both have tons of momentum behind them with recent Blockbusters Golmaal Again and Padmaavat, respectively. It’s a strange twist of fate that the same Ranveer Singh, who’s film Bajirao Mastani defeated the Rohit Shetty-SRK film Dilwale at the box office in 2015 now has Rohit Shetty on his side releasing a film one week after SRK’s Zero

On top of that, there is Sara Ali Khan who has been creating waves for all the right reasons. Personally, I didn’t give too much attention to the fact that she was debuting until I watched her episode on Koffee with Karan. Not only did she look stunning, but the way she carried herself was attention-grabbing. Her debut film, Kedarnath, has also turned out to be a mild success at the box office. 

Without any doubt, expectations from Simmba are huge!

Now, the analysis. The theatrical trailer of the film was released in the beginning of this month, and the response to the trailer was extremely mixed: some people loved it, while others thought it was very poor. There were a few things that were alarming. Firstly, the storyline: a done-to-death outdated rape storyline involving cops and the bad guys. The storyline and presentation is such that it appears the film would not have much to offer to the multiplex audience: the appreciation will be limited mostly to single screen/mass centre audience.  The second problem was of Ranveer Singh as a cop. It seems to be of general consensus that the stars from the 90s such as Salman Khan, Akshay Kumar, and Ajay Devgan pull of the role of the macho policeman the best. Their films Dabangg, Rowdy Rathore, and the Singham series are proof of that, as all were major hits at the box office. As a matter of fact, any of the young stars who have tried to veer towards the desi masala film space have found it difficult at the box office. The two biggest examples I can think of are ShahidKapoor’s Phata Poster Nikla Hero and Ranbir Kapoor’s Besharam, both of which sank without a trace at the box office! Thirdly, the ending of the trailer: Simmba (Ranveer Singh), who has been slowly built up throughout the trailer as a policeman looking for revenge, is suddenly shown tied up by the bad guys, while Singham (Ajay Devgan), who is not even supposed to be a central part of the film, arrives to help out Simmba! The truth is, Ranveer Singh as a hero has been made to look like a joke in that sequence, and it will only serve to disappoint his fans!


Next, the Aankh Maarey song. Not much needs to be said here, as the song is a huge chartbuster, even though there seems to be a section of the audience as well that seems to have not embraced this song completely. This section appears to be more of the class audience. Again, some here were of the opinion that it was the cameo of Arshad Warsi that stole the show in the song, which again makes one question Rohit Shetty’s presentation of his lead hero in this film. 

The Tere Bin song promo was released and got a mixed response. While watching the song, it shocked me to see how much of a carbon copy Ranveer Singh appeared to be of Ajay Devgan in terms of acting style! Again, I wouldn’t say this is completely a fault of Ranveer, but rather on the director who seems very determined to stay in his Ajay Devgan/Singham zone. 

Lastly, the Aala Re Aala song promo was released and got a very poor response. The problem with this song promo was that it seems to be stuck in the year 2012 or so. Dabangg, Singham, Khiladi 786…..all of the action masala films from the early part of this decade come to mind while watching this outdated song promo. 

At the risk of sounding negative, the whole film appears to be a joke. There is a very cartoonish vibe to the film, almost as if the makers weren’t very serious about the making of this film. Karan Johar appears in the beginning of the Aankh Maarey song and says “oh God, one more remake!” Also, the film just seems like an advertisement for the next installments of the Golmaal and Singham franchises. 

To be honest, Simmba has been an interesting case study to analyze. There are many people who are excited to see the film. There are many people who do not want to see the film, many opining that they have already seen the original Telugu film Temper. There are those who have liked the promos. There are those who have disliked the promos. All factors considered, I feel that Simmba will have mixed public word of mouth: the audience at single screens and mass centres will appreciate the film, whereas the city audience and those frequenting bigger multiplexes will reject the film!The holiday period will give a boost to the film’s collections.

With that said, Simmba will be a bigger grosser than Zero, which is already exhausting its run and will likely finish with lifetime collections in the 90 crore nett range. 

My Box Office Predictions for Simmba:

Opening Day: 12 crore nett

Opening Weekend: 40 crore nett

Lifetime Collections: 102 crore nett

Overall Verdict: Semi-Hit 


As always, you can follow me on Twitter at https://twitter.com/BobbyS_BO.

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26 comments:

  1. you might be right as this movie is not giving that feeling of Rohit Shetty's film which we normally get

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hahaha...true bro...Adda Today has lost all standards....even Thugs of Hindostan looked a joke from the promos...but Adda today was crazily promoting..even mentioning 350 cr is the minimum collection...

      Simmbaa promo looks fun...the songs are super hit and guest appearances of Singham n Golamaal team are more like Salman had in Zero..so wasnt SRK trying to sell his movie through Salman...

      Addatoday is scared that Simmbaa will take more screens so they are trying to create negative publicity here ...

      Simmbaa will easily cross 100 cr in Week 1 itself..lifetime closer to the 150 cr mark

      Delete
    2. Iss Bobby ko sab milke maaro
      He is the same guy who was telling that zero will collect 356 but in reality it is impossible to collect even 156
      @adda admin plz don't support these type of critics

      Delete
  2. Beta tera ZERO Ka prediction BHI perfect nikla ๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜

    ReplyDelete
  3. Zero
    Dream coll. 350cr
    Reality 90cr

    By Bobby sindhu

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hahaha...true bro...Adda Today has lost all standards....even Thugs of Hindostan looked a joke from the promos...but Adda today was crazily promoting..even mentioning 350 cr is the minimum collection...

      Simmbaa promo looks fun...the songs are super hit and guest appearances of Singham n Golamaal team are more like Salman had in Zero..so wasnt SRK trying to sell his movie through Salman...

      Addatoday is scared that Simmbaa will take more screens so they are trying to create negative publicity here ...

      Simmbaa will easily cross 100 cr in Week 1 itself..lifetime closer to the 150 cr mark

      Delete
  4. First day 14-16
    Weekend 52-55
    Week 85-90
    Box office run oveOver total 125-130 or more a superhit considering it's budget and all.

    ReplyDelete
  5. You just stop predicting films..Tumse na ho payega..All ur predictions are wrong. All the songs are chartbusters..Tere Bin is a relief to ears..So soothing..

    People r eagerly waiting for Simmba..Ye article delete nai karna baad me.

    ReplyDelete
  6. It will finish under 90 crores you are abslolutely right ranveer is looking as a joker.after success of bajirao even aditya trusted on ranveer that mat bollywood find a new super start but failed so the same situatipn will happen with simmba.ranveer has gaven just 3 clean hits on his all carer and all beacause sanjay laila bhansali and the readon all the three movies have good story and scraps and more than that depika has all three movies.

    ReplyDelete
  7. It will be huge hit. Audience only want logic in khan's film.what was logic in Rohit's previous film Golmaal again? Film's tagine was itself 'no logic only magic' .and film collected 205 crore.Rohit shetty has brainwashed gawar Indian audience. So it will be huge hit.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Es baar agree hu.....

      Race 3 ko chod de , to zero or TOH achchi movie h

      Toh me story or acting sab mast tha , but negetive publicity ka shikar hui

      250 crore to deserve krti thi.

      Delete
  8. I think, you are the same who predicted Zero collection more than 350 cr. Again you will become wrong with Simmba. Opening day collection will be 20cr (plus/minus 10%). Lifetime will be 150 cr (plus/minus 10%)

    ReplyDelete
  9. Ankur pls stop posting boby sidhu predictions and ask him about his zero movie predictions failing big tym

    ReplyDelete
  10. If it is a direct copy of Temper then this film will be a blockbuster. 150-200 crore on the cards if Rohit manages to get the emotions right.

    ReplyDelete
  11. After failure of simmba for sure rohit will never test again e


    ranveer as adityrvevr


    After first weekend business simmba will crush and in second week zero will hold again people will reject the simmba and watch the zero .



    ReplyDelete
  12. My prediction fir simmba. Friday. 11cr. Sat.14 cr. Sun.17 cr.weekend 42. First week 60 crores.second week 17 crores.lifetime 85 crore .flop

    ReplyDelete
  13. Bobby da pls change profession...Yours prediction has become joke of the town...What you predict exactly opposite happens๐Ÿ˜‚

    ReplyDelete
  14. Though I doubt the author, becoz most of his predictions are wrong(By consider. Margin). But Simbaa more has feel of single screens and typical masala entertainer.I'll compare with Satyamev Jayate, but it has positives like better star value, reliable director(who know how to reach audience rather than making movies just for critics stars) and an extended partial holiday period. The negatives are average (outdated) impression of trailer and songs not as hit and original as typical masala entertainer songs. So if public reaction remain from mixed to good and carry a decent WOM it can easily cross 120 crores mark.

    ReplyDelete
  15. Though I doubt the author, becoz most of his predictions are wrong(By consider. Margin). But Simbaa more has feel of single screens and typical masala entertainer.I'll compare with Satyamev Jayate, but it has positives like better star value, reliable director(who know how to reach audience rather than making movies just for critics stars) and an extended partial holiday period. The negatives are average (outdated) impression of trailer and songs not as hit and original as typical masala entertainer songs. So if public reaction remain from mixed to good and carry a decent WOM it can easily cross 120 crores mark.

    ReplyDelete
  16. In poster...
    Sonu sood looks more dashing than ranvir...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes..i can understand ur level of choice...u might also feel Jr NTR looks hotter than Hrithik....HAHAHAHHAHHAHHAHAHAHHAHA

      Delete
    2. Ok,Hrithik itna hot hai ke roti sekne k kam to aa hi jaayega...

      Delete
  17. Ankur Baruah....ye Bobby Sidhu joker ko kahaan se pakad laaye ho....log gaali maar rhe hain...aapki site dekhna bhiband kar denge...koi standard ka aadmi dhoondo...ya khud hi daalo...ye predicition iski New Year tak hi fail ho jaayegi....ye koi joker hai

    1st Jan..max 2nd Jan tak 102 cr ki gurantee hai...150 cr +_ is the ultimate limit for this movie...iss joker ko samajh nhi aayegi ye baat

    ReplyDelete

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