November 29, 2018

2.0 movie Box Office Prediction - Hit or Flop?

2.0 is the biggest movie of India without a single doubt. Film is made on a colossal budget of Rs 550 crores (including Promotion and Marketing). Film stars Rajinikanth, Akshay Kumar and Amy Jackson. 2.0 is the true blue sequel to Robot which was the biggest film at the time of its release.

Robot broke all box office records at the time of its release and hence, expectation is humongous from 2.0. Film is well marketed in the last 10-15 days which has raised the curiosity level among the movie goers. Yes, there is a big chance that 2.0 may again create new records and benchmark at box office.

2.0 is not an ordinary movie. It is the 'costliest Indian film ever' and answer to Hollywood. Hence, we simply can't keep low expectations. In addition film is competing with Baahubali 2 whose records looks untouchable at the moment.

Baahubali 2 Hindi version alone collected in excess of 500 crore nett in India. All languages business in India shoot upto around 1050 crore nett in India itself. No other Hindi film has ever touched 400 crore mark and no other Indian film has crossed 500 crore nett in India. Hence, challenges are big for 2.0.

Yes, buzz of Baahubali 2 is unprecedented at the time of its release. Definitely buzz of 2.0 is not at that level. Hence, we have to forget the comparison right now.

But going by the budget, hype star cast and Robot series novelty, anything less than say 400 crore nett in India from all language will be a disappointment. If only Hindi version is considered then anything less than 150 crore nett will be a disappointment.

2.0 Economics

Budget -> Rs 550 crores approx.


Non Theatrical Recovery -> A total of Rs 350 crores is recovered by the makers by selling the Satellite, Digital and distribution rights. Details below. Figures are bare minimum and actual may be higher.

Satellite Rights (Hindi + Tamil + Telugu) -> Rs 110-120 crores.

Digital Rights (Hindi + Tamil + Telugu) -> Rs 50-60 crores.

Distribution Rights (Hindi only) -> Rs 80 crores.

Distribution Rights (Andhra/Telangana + Kerala + Karnataka) -> Rs 100 crores (Bare minimum).

Means, makers have recovered around Rs 350 crores as if now. Another Rs 200 crores are needed to break even. As Tamil and Overseas distribution rights are with maker themselves. Huge chunk of money will be recovered from this territory itself. Rajinikanth has massive following in Tamil and Overseas.

Atleast a bare minimum of Rs 150 crores are a expected theatrical recovery from Tamil and Overseas market unless film comes out a dude. Then there is merchandising and other non-theatrical recoveries.

Yes, project is risky with such an enormous budget. But makers have made a well planned recovery model.

It is all about the film recovery. 

Now let's talk about Hindi version only and whether film will be a Hit or Flop?

As Hindi Version distribution rights are sold for approx Rs 80 crores. Film will need to do business in around Rs 160-165 crore nett to break even. Anything above will be profit and less will be loss for distributors.

Means, film will attain Clean HIT at around Rs 170 crore nett mark from Hindi version. If film collects between 150-170 crore nett will be either Average or Semi Hit. Anything lower than Rs 150 crore mark film will be a below average or flop or disaster depending on final outcome.

2.0 Hindi Verdict -

Clean HIT -> Above 170 crore nett.

Below Average, Average, Above Average, Semi Hit -> 150-170 crore nett.

Flop -> Below 150 crore nett.

Box Office Prediction -

First Day (Thursday): Expected around 25-30 crore nett.

Extended First Weekend (Thu to Sun):

If accepted: 115-120+ crore nett.
If mixed: 85-110 crore nett.
If rejected: less then 80 crore nett.

Lifetime

If accepted: 250-275+ crore nett.
If mixed: 140-240 crore nett.
If rejected: Less than 130 crore nett.

Our EstimateLooking into all pre-release factors we are predicting 2.0 business in the region of 200-250 crore nett. That means it should emerge as a Hit/Super Hit at box office! However, if content of 2.0 is good to very good then there will be no stopping and it can even go beyond 250-275 crore nett in its lifetime business in India and can even challenge 300 crore or more. Sky is the limit!

There is no doubt about one thing. 2.0 is all set to be the biggest Akshay Kumar grosser ever unless film is rejected by the audiences from 2nd show itself.

We have considered pre release buzz, current box office scenario, screen count, trailer response, 'Robot' franchise factor, Rajinikanth and Akshay Kumar star value. Hope not only film does excellent business but outperforms our prediction to collect even more than that.


Verdict: HIT or Super HIT!

Do let us know your prediction for this latest biggie! What do you think whether film will collect 100, 200, 300 crore or more at box office!



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63 comments:

  1. I admire the business model that the makers have come up with to recover the amount. I think the movie will easily make 1500 cr worldwide.

    ReplyDelete
  2. adda today are you nuts, 550 cr cost and prediction only 400 cr nett all languages is very low. Mark my words first day nett business in all languages will be 150 to 175 cr, in first weekend itself 2.0 will collect 400-450 cr nett all languages and the lifetime will be around 1100 cr nett all languages

    ReplyDelete
  3. 1st day-30 to 35 Cortes
    Extended weekend-145 to 150 Cortes
    Lifetime-450 to 550 crores only Hindi version

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. highly unlikely...but hope it opens bigger than this

      Delete
  4. I am hopeful that movie should collect over 400 crs only in hindi
    Tab ayega maza
    Agr 250 tk collect karti hai to itna something to avengers infinity war ne bhi collect kia tha

    ReplyDelete
  5. All total of india should be 700-800 crs

    ReplyDelete
  6. If distribution rights solds at 80 crore how it needs 160 crore to break even just because its not a khan film. Please explain your economics

    ReplyDelete
  7. Just tell the estimate for becoming blockbuster
    Then akki and rajni sir starter 2.0 will recover it
    Can't wait to watch it on fdfs
    :-RORIC the amir sallu Bhai fan

    ReplyDelete
  8. Mere hisab se 2.0 hindi 400cr+ to kregi

    Agar 400cr. Kr liya to worldwide 2000cr. Confirm h

    130se 140cr. Tak weekend rh sakta h 2.0 ka

    ReplyDelete
  9. Akshay kumar ko 2.0 me jald jald dekhna chahte h

    Rajnikant vs Akshay kumar

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Bahubali
      Prabhas-hero
      Rana daggubati-villain
      Credit-Prabhas
      Robot 2.0
      Rajinikant-hero
      Akshay-villain
      Credit-Rajini Sir only
      .
      .
      .
      Samajh me Aaya kya???

      Delete
    2. Arey beta sonu tu to Sach mein Bacha h re. Beta movie mein character dekha jata h Kiska strong h. Akki ke look or character k aage tere Hollywood avengers bhi feeke lag rahe h. Bus akki ka look hi kaffi h is movie ko dekhne k liye.

      Delete
    3. Sonu Rana me or Akshay kumar me bhut fark h

      Akshay kumar ne kai hit , superhit , blockbuster movie apne dm pr di h , Rana se kai jyda Akshay kumar ki fan following h,

      Abhi rana Houseful 4 me Akshay kumar ke sath
      Supporting role me kaam kr rhe h

      Delete
    4. Lokesh Meena...😂😂😂Akshay ne bahut blockbuster diye h apne Dum pr.....highest 133 crs.....
      .
      .
      .
      Tum log Dil pe haath rakh ke socho rajinikant bda h ya akki

      Delete
    5. Vinay beta tumko samajh me nai aayega....villain hamesha chibilla wala look me rhta h.....
      .
      .
      .
      Kya kre Teri v galti nhi h
      Bhakt ho na

      Delete
  10. what a wrong figure given by u ankush ur mathematics is totally wrong to be a hit it needs 130cr

    ReplyDelete
  11. u r wrong ankur it need 130cr to be a hit

    ReplyDelete
  12. being flop, the movie must earn 650 crore only in India, Ankur can not count on rights sold etc, if you count these then I say Shahrukh Khan FAN movie was hit!!!!and Dilwale was blockbuster!!!! You only have to calculate ticket revenues in India, not tv rights blah blah blah

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Here in india, 8 out of 10 people thinks they are expert in film business😂😀

      Delete
  13. Everyone should watch this movie

    ReplyDelete
  14. All bollywood records are in danger. Go akki go

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Bhai mana Akshay is a good acto but seriously you think this is going to be called Akshay film if it is a blockbuster. Grow up Akshay never delivered a 150 Crore movie till now.

      Delete
    2. Tera kya dikat ha akshay ki movie bhi 2.0 itna hi role aur dekh lena iss saal ki sabse badi hit hogi

      Delete
    3. Arijit yes i do believe.
      Agar kisi actor ne apne carrier ki sabse jyada mahenat ek character ke liye ki he to use credit kyo na mile. Koi logic hai to bata bhai.

      Delete
    4. Bhai I am talking about facts. Akki is a good actor no doubt about that but Rajnikanths fan following and Star power is unparalleled even none of the Khans have the same so if Robot 2.0 became blockbuster bulk of the credit will go to him not Akshay.

      Delete
    5. I totally agree with rajni starpower in south. But in northern india none of the rajni movies are hits. You have to agree that too.
      I will first give credit to shankar sir. Than both the lead actors.

      This addatoday portal is only for bollywood fans thats why I am mentioning bollywood star akki only here.

      Delete
  15. Ankur sir ye movie aapke prediction se 100% outperform karegi

    ReplyDelete
  16. First day collection 100 करोड प्लस All version

    ReplyDelete
  17. Bahubali record will stand!!! 2.0 promotions are poor to say the least. Releasing posters a day and curiosity level are high. Come on guys.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. late start of advance bookings in north will be the main reason for low opening

      Delete
  18. Bhai logo Hyderabad Bangalore chennai booking dekho pehle din all languages 120 crore plus karegi

    ReplyDelete
  19. Arijit thugs of hindustan ka kya hua all languages india 150 crore itne toh 2.0 sunday ko all languages karegi

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Let us see if TOH first day Hindi version record is broken. But I do think Robot 2.0 can beat Bahubaali 2 if content is good. But if that also happens it will be remembered as South movie has done the unimaginable not a Bollywood movie. So for now Aamirs every record is out of reach.

      Delete
  20. The trailer was rubbish, cartoon graphics.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. आंखों क का ऑपरेशन करवा लें

      Delete
    2. Baba azmin jo bhi ho tu pic jake 3d may dekh bhok kam

      Delete
  21. Kamz jake apna kabz thik kar 2.0 will break each and every record

    ReplyDelete
  22. Advance booking kab start hogi movie ki plz update

    ReplyDelete
  23. It will break 50 crore of bugs of hindustan

    ReplyDelete
  24. Kal se to hona hi chahiye advance booking start

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Saurab bhai honesty speaking hindi distribuer or exhibiter ne film Ki waat laga di h. Sirf 1 din bacha h or Ab bhi movie Ki advance suru nahi hui h. Jahan suru hui h wo bhoot kam screen mili h. Delhi Ncr or Mumbai mein sirf 8 se 10 theatre mein booking start hui h. Iska matlab saaf h. Movie hindi mein 4000 nahi sirf 400 screen par release ho rahi h. Maximum 1000 screen. Akki Ki biggest movie with lowest screen count. Sorry but halat Dekh K to yahi lag raha h. 10 din se excited tha leken jaisey jaisey advance ka pata laga h Ab Bhoot bura lag raha h. Admin ankur sir Plz confirm hindi mein kitne screen par release hogi.

      Delete
  25. Saurabh singh bhai saare records todegi

    ReplyDelete
  26. 2.0 would be milestone in indian cinema

    ReplyDelete
  27. Akshay is the king of bollywood not aamir salman aur srk

    ReplyDelete
  28. 4 days it will collect 400 to 450 crore In india only box office set on fire

    ReplyDelete
  29. Ankur sir plz post about the advance booking details of 2.0

    ReplyDelete
  30. Nahi bhai 4100 screens pe hi lag rahi hai yaar
    Ha advance booking bahut lait start ki hai hindi me

    ReplyDelete
  31. Koi nahi fir bhi saurav bhai fir bhi all langauges india may 120 crore to 130 crore karegi first day

    ReplyDelete
  32. Releasing in 10500 + screen worldwide. All time record.

    ReplyDelete
  33. Why the movie is not releasing in IMAX-3D???? Very Disappointing ....!!!

    Its only releasing in IMAX-2D and standard 3D...!! Anybody know the proper information????

    ReplyDelete
  34. Bilkul shubham bhai, isme koi competition nahi hai na hi koi khan ya kumardom wali baat hai
    Movie me bahut hard work hua hai bhai sir budget bhi bahut bada hai agr ye movie kuch bada karegi to sir logo ko bhi hope aayega bade project me

    ReplyDelete
  35. Yahi to time hai jab indian cinema bada ho raha hai, cheezen change ho rahi hai
    Nahi to thugs ke baad agr 2.0 ka bhi aisa kuch hua to phir sari cheeze limited ho jaegi

    ReplyDelete
  36. Thugs chahe hit rahi ho ya flop lekin achhi baat ye thi makers explore kar rahe hai nayi cheezo ko lekar kabhi usme success aa jati hai kabhi nahi

    ReplyDelete
  37. Bahubali ne itni himmat di makers ko agr 2.0 bhi aisa kuch kar jati hai to kai aise bade projects ubhar kar aayenge

    ReplyDelete
  38. Nice content like Andhadhun Raid Raazi have to be hits and Race 3 and Thugs shouldnt do well as they were quite bad movies

    ReplyDelete
  39. 2.0 will break all records except bahubali

    ReplyDelete
  40. Dear Ankur, the information you have provided is wrong here, the total pre release business are as follows;

    Tamilnadu 100Cr
    Karnataka 30
    Kerala 16
    AP/Nizam 72
    Hindi 77
    Overseas 80
    Satellite, digital all language 180cr
    Total 555cr recovered by makers
    Film needs to Cross 210cr in Tamilnadu,karnataka 65, kerala 35, hindi belt 160cr, overseas 170cr to be a hit. So total needed to be a hit is around 650-700cr.

    ReplyDelete

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