October 19, 2017

Golmaal Again Box Office Prediction. HIT or Flop.

Golmaal Again is the big Diwali release. It is the fourth installment of very successful Golmaal franchise. Expectation is huge from this 4th installment and hope that film rocks big time this Diwali.


Film stars Ajay Devgn, Parineeti Chopra, Tabu, Arshad Warsi, Tusshar, Shreyas Talpade and Kunal Khemu in lead roles. Film is slated for release on 20th October, 2017 which is National Holiday. Means, film should have a big start at box office. 

Golmaal Again trailer is immensely liked by all. Film song promos are also decent. However, only issue is that film is clashing with another biggie in Secret Superstar starring Aamir Khan in extended cameo. One can't simply neglect a Aamir Khan film, even if it is much small in comparison. Apart from this, everything rest is going fine for Golmaal Again. 

So, without any more further delay let's start the Box Office Prediction of Golmaal Again. Let's see whether film will be a Hit or Flop?

Economics - 

Budget - Total Landing Cost estimated at INR 90 crores [Production cost + P&A]. Official announcement on Budget of film is not made.

Recovery from Non-Theatrical Revenue - There are reports that Golmaal Again Satellite Rights are sold for astronomical price some time back. Actual amount is not known yet. Still we can safely assume after going through the reports that film should easily fetch 35 crores from Satellite Rights. Again there is no update on theatrical rights of the film.

Amount need to be recovered from Theatrical Revenue - Makers should recover around 40-45 crores from Satellite Rights, Music and others prior to release of the film. That is bare minimum. Film needs another 45-50 crores to be recovered from India and Overseas theatricals. Means if film does a decent business in Overseas and say recovers 10 crores, which looks easily possible. Then film needs to collect only 80 crore nett in India to break even. Anything above that will be profits.

Release Screen Count - Film should get a release of 2800-3000 screens in India. Screen count could have been easily more, but film is clashing with Secret Superstar. Still, it is more than enough to put big box office number in a single day.
Single Day Business Potential - G4 has potential to collect around 30 crore nett in a Single Day with 100% ideal occupancy.

First Day Collection (Friday) - G4 being releasing on Friday (Diwali Holiday). Considering Holiday factor and Golmaal franchise recall value film should collect 18-20+ crore nett for the day. Anything less than that will be a disappointment.

First Weekend Collection (Friday-Sunday) - A 60+ crore nett in opening weekend will be a very good start at box office for G4. Anything below 55 crore nett will be disappointment considering the Holiday weekend factor.

Lifetime Business - If Golmaal Again word of mouth is decent to good, then movie has every chance of going past 125 crore at box office. If word of mouth is good to very good then film should cross 150 crore nett in its lifetime and may even challenge 175 crores or more. If that happens it will be simply fantastic.




Prediction:

First Day: Expected around 20 crore nett.

First Weekend:

If accepted: 60+ crore nett.
If mixed: 50-59 crore nett.
If rejected: less then 49 crore nett.

Lifetime

If accepted: 160+ crore nett.
If mixed: 110-150 crore nett.
If rejected: Less than 100 crore nett.

Our Estimate: Looking into all pre-release factors we are predicting Golmaal Again business anywhere between 130-140 crore nett. That means it should challenge or cross the Highest grossing Bollywood movie of 2017. Film will be bit affected by Secret Superstar which is releasing a day prior to it. However, if content of G4 is good to very good then there will be no stopping and it can even challenge 175 crore nett in its lifetime business in India. We have considered pre release buzz, current box office scenario, clash factor, screen count, trailer response, song promos and Golmaal franchise value. Hope not only film does excellent business but outperforms our prediction to collect even more than that.

Verdict: HIT!

Do let us know your prediction for this latest Diwali biggie! What do you think whether film will collect 100, 150, 175 crore or more at box office!


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11 comments:

  1. अंकुर जी कुछ सिक्रेट सुपरस्टार के बारे में भी लिखो । ये तो गोलमाल से पहले relase हो रही है ।

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  2. Rohit shetty once again will save sinking career of ajay.BTW what was Ajay's last hit ankur?

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    1. His last semi hit was Drishyam becooz of low budget

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    2. AngelOctober 16, 2017 at 12:44 PM
      After Rohit's first film Zameen flopped he requested Ajay for Golmaal. If Ajay would have rejected him Rohit could not have reached in today's position. Ajay was already a established superstar among khans as he would definitely get movies. So better think and comment stupid Jaz

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  3. Ajay ki film flop hui hai iske liye ajay khud responsible hai. High budget li movie karna.aur high fees charge karna.jab ki ajay ko pata hai ki unki koi bhai movie 80cr se 90 cr tak kama leti hai. To 40cr se 50cr tak ki movie karni chahiye. 25cr se 30cr per movie charge karna flop hona hi hai.

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    Replies
    1. Singham returns:- 157cr golmaal 3:- 110 cr shivaay:-145cr (world wide).....what r u saying

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  4. Ajay and Rohit combo is Solid hitter and Paisa vassol take considering Golmal 1 ,2,3 Bol bacchan Singham Singham return...All the best..A are superduper hit so ..Ajay Rohit has potential because at year 2010 Golmal 3 cross 100 cr mark that is enough about ajay capabilities...Golmal again Marketing Dubbsmash Dialogue thinking film will cross 100 cr in 3 or max 4 days and also G4 will do around 170 -180 if its good attempt by Rohit on horrors topic and if really perfect combo with dialogue and Scriptthen it may cross 200 cr mark ...and it will be biggest hit of 2017 ...

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  5. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  6. Eagerly waiting for Golmaal Again. Hope it will cross 200 crore mark and will be all time blockbuster.

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  7. We bring you some viewers' verdict on the film shared on Twitter. Here is the live update of Golmaal Again movie review and ratings by audience:
    Prince Prithvi‏ @PrincePrithvi
    1st half packs a scary punch #GolmaalAgain. #GolmaalAgain ~ A variety Golmaal & a Laugh-Out-Loud Entertainer. Rohit Shetty - @ajaydevgn combo never disappoints.(3.5☆/5). Golmaal > #GolmaalAgain , Golmaal3 > Golmaal2 Gopal @ajaydevgn gets better with every Golmaals. This time its mix of all Gopals #GolmaalAgain
    KRK‏ @iamkamalRkhan
    Watched #GolmaalAgain Last night @ajaydevgn superb performance take a bow #RohitShetty One word review :Total Dhamaal ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
    SOHAIL KHAN‏ @ItsSohailKhan
    #GolmaalAgain INTERVAL!! Too much entertainment till now. Amazing plot and storyline. Superb comedy by @ajaydevgn & @ArshadWarsi. The duo of @ajaydevgn and #RohitShetty never disappoints!! #GolmaalAgain is essentially a laughter and hilarious riot. Sure SHOT WINNER ⭐⭐⭐⭐
    Umair Sandhu‏ @sandhumerry
    First Review #GolmaalAgain from UAE ! Paisa Vasool Horror Comedy film. Hilarious Performances by all actors. A Perfect Diwali Gift ! 3.5*/5* Best Comedy film of the Year ! Hilarious Performances + Terrific Dialogues + Rocking Music = 3.5*/5*
    Bhole Bhakt Baba‏ @bhaktbaba
    Its interval and #GolmaalAgain is terrific n hilarious. Rohit and Ajay combo is always a treat to watch. @ajaydevgn #HappyDiwali

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