August 11, 2016

Mohenjo Daro and Rustom Box Office Prediction. Hit or Flop?

Mohenjo Daro and Rustom are two big release happening at box office this Friday (tomorrow precisely). Both films are big and both are clashing nearly on equal terms as far as first week is concerned.

Both films are scheduled to get equal screenings with Mohenjo Daro having a slender lead. Mohenjo Daro is slated to release in around 2300-2400 screens, whereas Rustom is set to get around 2200 screens. Advance booking of both films started and so far it is decent.

We will give a quick take on the box office prediction of Mohenjo Daro and Rustom. Honestly it is very difficult to predict BO prediction when two big films are clashing. Generally after initial days euphoria film with better word of mouth takes the march ahead. Hence, predicting box office stuff before the release is tough specially in case of big clashes. Still let's have a try.

Mohenjo Daro Box Office Prediction

Budget - 120 crores [Cost - 100 crores, P&A -20 crores.]

Non-Theatrical Recovery - Around 50-55 crores are recovered from Satellite, Music and other rights. Means another 65-70 crores need to be recovered theatrically Worldwide. That should not be difficult if film trends decent atleast for first week.

First Day Collection - 15 crore nett for day one will be a good start considering film is having a clash. Anything less than 12 crore nett will be alarming. Anything above 15 crore nett will be outstanding. We expect around 13-14 crore nett start.

First Weekend Collection (4 days) - 60-65 crore nett for opening weekend will be a good start. Anything less than 50 crore nett will be of big concern. Anything above 65 crore nett will be fantastic. We expect around 60 crore nett for first weekend.

Lifetime Collection - If film gets good to excellent word of mouth, then it should collect in the region of 150-160+ crore nett. If film gets mixed word of mouth then it should collect in the region of 100-140 crore nett. If film is rejected then it will collect less than 90 crores. 

Our estimates - Mohenjo Daro should collect around 130-140 crore nett at box office in its lifetime. Film will get affected big time because of the clash with Rustom.

Verdict - Hit. Makers will make profit, whereas Distributors should break even or have some kind of profit.

Rustom Box Office Prediction

Budget - 50 crores [Cost - 35 crores. P&A - 15 crores. Akshay Kumar fees not included.]

Non-theatrical Recovery - Around 35-40 crores are recovered from Satellite. Music and other rights. But again its major chunk that is Satellite rights may be the remuneration of Akshay Kumar. Means still around 40 crore nett needed to be recovered theatrically worldwide to break even. That should not be difficult if film trends decent at box office even for one week.

First Day Collection - 13 crore nett will be a good start. Anything above that will be a great start. Anything below that means around 10 crore nett or less will be alarming. We expect around 12-13 crore nett start.



First Weekend Collection (4 days) - 55 crore nett for opening weekend will be a good start. Anything less than 45 crore nett will be of big concern. Anything above 60 crore nett will be fantastic. We expect around 55 crore nett for first weekend.


Lifetime Collection - If film gets good to excellent word of mouth, then it should collect in the region of 130+ crore nett. If film gets mixed word of mouth then it should collect in the region of 90-120 crore nett. If film is rejected then it will collect less than 80 crores. 

Our estimates - Rustom should collect around 110-115 crore nett at box office in its lifetime. Film will get affected big time because of the clash with Mohenjo Daro. Had it got solo release and with current buzz with would have collected much more.

Verdict - Hit/Super Hit. Everyone associated with it will make decent to good profits because of controlled budget. Rejoice!

Note - We have made box office prediction of films based on the current buzz generated because of trailers, promos, inside reports, clash factor and star power factor of the film before the release. However real word of mouth will be out once film releases.

What's your box office prediction. Do let us know in comment section.


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15 comments:

  1. a nice take on the clash...good job ankur..totally agree

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  3. rustom superhit - mohenjodaro super flo - main to Superman Salman ka fan

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  4. Rustom will be super hit

    Rustam Movie story line is very superior and full strength.
    MohenjoDaro will get benefit only because of Hritik Roshan starer . Otherwise story line s old and boring.

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  5. Only mohenjo daro blockbuster....I m srkians... 12august mohenjo daro... Love u hrithik

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    1. rustom aise superhit hoogi ki tum jaise loogo ka mouth band hoo jaye jalte hoo akki ki se

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  6. Rustom-Blockbuster
    Mohanjodaro-70cr
    2017
    26 January
    80cr vs 70cr King

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  7. RUSTOM WILL BE SUPERHIT AKKI WILL ROCK

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  8. Sure about Rustom it will be a Super Hit since its trailer Rustom looking very promising movie and very different new and unique story i am curious about to know the entire story of Rustom. Rustom has every chance to beat MJD in this clash.

    my vote for Rustom
    Thumbs Up

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  9. Bodyguard earned 21 crore on Day 1 with 1800 screens. So clashes should not stop good films from earning good numbers. How can it be outstanding to earn 15crore with 2500 or 2000 screens?

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  10. HIT HIT SUPER HIT LIFE TIME BLOCK BUSTER MOHENJODARO HRITIK ROSHAN BECOME A SUPER STAR IN THIS FILM

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  11. HIT HIT SUPER HIT LIFE TIME BLOCK BUSTER MOHENJODARO HRITIK ROSHAN BECOME A SUPER STAR IN THIS FILM

    ReplyDelete