December 31, 2015

Dilwale is a Hit or Flop? How about the Economics.

There is no doubt that one of the biggest release of 2015 Dilwale is under performing at Indian Box Office. Still New Year Holiday to start off, but right now with the outcome so far we can safely say that it has disappointed in trade big time. Although film is running exceptionally well in Overseas and is heading for a huge grosser there.

Dilwale has grossed around 132 crore nett in India in 13 days. However by this time film was atleast expected to touch 200 crore nett mark or atleast close to it. Film theatrical rights are Sold for huge sum and as per distributors calculation film should atleast touch 225 crore nett mark. May be even cross 250.

Coming to film economics film budget is valued at 100-110 crores [inclusive of P&A]. So, makers have made good profit on table itself if non-theatrical revenues like Satelite and Music are added on. In fact film has recovered a whopping 60+ crores from sale of Satelite and Music rights alone. 

But the biggest sad part of film is that distributors and sub-distributors who have brought the film rights will entitle loses. They were thinking at the time of buying that film will easily go past 225 crores and hence brought it for high rates. 

Dilwale is those kind of films which is looking to get trade status of Above Average or Semi Hit. Overseas business is Blockbuster but that alone can't be factor in film verdict. Yes, it has helped immensely. Trade will declare Clean Hit only when film crosses the cut-off 150-160 crore nett, but looks highly unlikely as another significant 28 crores are needed. Still hope for best and let's see whether film can go that far or not. Hope that answers all queries who are asking whether Dilwale will be a Hit or Flop.


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25 comments:

  1. BREAKING NEWS
    dilwale verdict, clear that Dilwale is a flop and not at all a profitable venture. It has been a nightmare for Distributors and theater owners in the year end. Shah Rukh Khan starer has failed to recover money and thus it is a big flop and disappointment in the end of the year. Here are the approximate loss that incur in each territory.
    Territory Loss
    Mumbai-21cr
    NCR-13cr
    Rajasthan-8cr
    Nizam Andhra-7cr
    Mysor-3cr
    CI-4cr
    Bihar-2cr
    TN-Kerala-1.5cr
    These are the near accurate prediction of losses that incur due to disastrous performance of Shah Rukh Khan Starer Dilwale.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Kisi mental hospital Mein Bharti Ho ja....dont worry expenses main bear karunga.....tera khud ka budget 10 rupay se zyada nahi hai...

      Delete
  2. aur waise vi 160cr par karna iski bat nahi u r right addatoday 160cr + --- hit

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  3. Before release you told film budget is 75 crore. Now you are telling 110 crore. Which one is true?

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  4. Jis film ka bgt h100 cr aur usne kamaye 150 cr wo flop yani dilwale.
    Aur jis film ka bgt h 120-130 cr wo kamaye 160 to wo hit.hadd h imran sb aapki thinking se.soch badlo desh badlega.yahi dilwale ji jagh prdp hoti to 100 cr bhi paar nahi kar pati jbki dilwale 150 cr kar rahi h.isiliye salman ki phat gai aur sultaan ki eid se hatakar diwali pr le gaya taki raees se mukabla na ho

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Raees se mukawla hoga...Sultan eid me hi aayegi...ghabrao mat...
      ye sab fake news hai ki Sultan postpone ho gayi...
      Ha ha ha
      Sultan aa raha hai

      Delete
  5. मैं करूँ तो साला कैरेक्टर ढीला है...

    PRDP
    cost-80 cr
    collection-115 cr
    verdict-Super Hit





    Dilwale
    cost-165 cr
    collection-145 cr
    verdict-above average
    .
    .
    .
    real verdict
    Dilwale-Disaster
    .
    .
    .
    मैं करूँ तो साला कैरेक्टर ढीला है

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sale 130cr premratan dhan payo kaa budget thaa aur 50cr salman khan ki fees thi aur 177 cr business tha to kase profit kiyaa

      Delete
  6. aur kitna haklao he haklu log .. sarm nahi aarahi 300cr , 400cr , 500cr , 1000cr bolne wale aaj hit ke liye rahe ... abe khudlog mental hai ja mental hospital hoke aa ... film ka hit ya flop sirf budget dekhkar nahi kiya jata , distributer ka profit ya lose vi dekha jata hai. aur dilwale ka halat to aisa hai sab distributer ro rahe.. aur bolrahe itna bara lose zindagi me nahi hua lollllll

    ReplyDelete
  7. aur Jada hakla mat 145 pe rahi to verdict flop hi hogi ... 150cr se Jada karegi to avrj Jo ki namumkin hai iske liye .... wait hakluo

    ReplyDelete
  8. Dear Ankur, Aapne yeh nahi bataya ke Dilwale ke Domestic Distribution Writes kitne Crores mein sale kiye gaye hai. Aur yeh bhi nahi bataya ke Distributor Share kitna Hona chahiye aur abhi tak film ne kitna kamaya.

    In BM Mastani Case also you didn't mention the cost of distribution writes but you only mention "Film is looking to collect aroung 75-80 Crores distributor share". Yeh Kaise Pata Chalega ke film ke distribution writes kitne mein sale hue the.

    Please Clarify.

    ReplyDelete
  9. Dear Ankur,

    Wish you and entire addatoday team a very happy, prosperous and successful new year 2016. I have always believed in the reports published on your website and this time also you people have done a remarkable job. Congratulation to your entire team for that.

    Now, coming towwards the economic analysis of the performance of BM and Dilwale, I am putting my points as below:

    1. Bajirao Mastani: As per your website the budget of BM is approx 125-130crs. Till date BM has done a business of 140crs in india itself. You have predicted a lifetime business of 160crs for BM and if it does that then looking at the distributor share BM can be tagged as a clean hit in india. However, the picture is not the same if the worldwide collections are considered as BM is lagging behind Dilwale big time in this apsect. However as you said the verdict is decided by india business so that I feel BM will get a clean hit status.

    2. Dilwale: As per your website the budget of BM is approx 95-100crs.(Article: Box office prediction of Dilwale Hit or Flop) Till date Dilwale has done a business of 135crs in india itself. You have predicted a lifetime business of 150crs and if it does that then looking at the distributor share it can be tagged as a clean hit in india. However, if the worldwide collections are considered then Dilwale has made its deep impact there. However as you said the verdict is decided by india business so that I feel Dilwale should get a clean hit status.

    My take: If we consider the different odds faced by both the films the screen size got neutralized in 2nd week as BM maintained approx same number of screens whereas Dilwale was reduced to almost half. Yes It is the fact that BM has been liked by the audience in a much better mnanner but I dont agree with the term that Dilwale has been completely disappointed. I feel there was a lot of expectations carrying on Dilwale due to SRk-Rohit, SRK-Kajol, Varun dhawan etc factors and I also admit it fell short of those expectations but it has been rejected by the audience. If rejected then it would not have been able to make approx 135crs in two weeks. Yes, it has been an under performer as per the standards set by SRK and team himself but it has certainly not been flop or rejected as claimed by a certain section of haters. If a movie of 95-100crs of budget doing a business of approx 150crs is said as rejected then what would you say about BM where the budget is 125-130crs and collections are 160crs. So, In my opinion both BM and Dilwale has performed on the similar lines with BM a bit better. Yes, considering the SRK factor Dilwale has not performed to its full potential but it is certainly not a flop. I repeat if you tag Dilwale as flop or rejected then BM will also be considered as a flop by looking at its economics. So, I feel the haters might have learned a bit of profit loss in mathematics. Apply that and you will know the fact. Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
  10. Abe gadho padhlo mr. Kunal anand ko aur dum ho to reply karo aur rahi baat sultan ki to usme itna dum nhi ki king khan ke saamne aa sake jaldi hi tn is sambandh me adda today pr hi padhoge ki sultab diwali pr release hogi qki ye ho chuka h.eid pr 3 july ko solo release ho rahi h raees...baniye ka dimagh...
    miya bhai ki daring.

    ReplyDelete
  11. Hahahaha haters bichare
    sadme me hai flopppppppp
    Hahahahhaaha
    Srk without deepika 100cr only
    Hahahahahahah

    ReplyDelete
  12. Above people are getting mad when addatoday telling the truth...nobody is factoring SRK's cost... With he producing the film his cost is not incurred

    ReplyDelete
  13. Above people are getting mad when addatoday telling the truth...nobody is factoring SRK's cost... With he producing the film his cost is not incurred

    ReplyDelete
  14. aur waisevi kaali ne muh kaala kardiya ha ha ha ha

    ReplyDelete
  15. a le azaam aur hakla tu ha ha
    .
    salman, No,#Sultanis NOT postponed to Diwali 2016. Confirmed for Eid 2016. Which means,#Sultan[Salman Khan] versus#Raees[SRK] clash is on!— taran adarsh (@taran_adarsh)December 23, 2015

    ReplyDelete
  16. Apni jaankari update rakho miya aur dum h to aao ek baar saamne jse pichhli 3 baar munh kala kiya h salman ka wse hi chauthi baar bhi hoga

    ReplyDelete
  17. super flopppppppppppppppppppppppppppppppppp

    ReplyDelete
  18. As per 'addatoday': Dilwale's budget was 110/-Cr.

    Indian domestic collection: 132/-Cr.
    Satellite right sold at 60/-Cr.
    Music right sold to Sony at 19/-Cr. Total Indian collection at present is 132 + 60 + 19 = 211 Cr.
    Overseas Gross collection till 31st. December was USD 20 Million.
    20,000,000 x 66 = 132,0000000 Cr. Indian Rupees.
    If we count 30% of total overseas gross collection which is 39 Cr.as net collection and add it to the total Indian collection than
    211Cr. + 39Cr. would make 250Cr.

    Film made on a budget of 110/- Cr. Minus Total Net collection world wide 250/-Cr. = 140/-Cr.
    A profit of 128%. Which is unbelievable considering the online, social media appeal to boycott Dilwale and protesting
    and forcing the theater owners not to show the film in parts of the
    country.
    It is the sheer Star Power of SRK which prevailed.

    ReplyDelete
  19. Dilwale local collection 132 Crore.
    Satellite right sold 60 Crore.
    Music right sold to Sony 19 Crore.

    Total collection in India 211 Crore.

    Till 31 December overseas collection is 20 Millions. Equivalent to Indian rupees: 20,000,000 x 66 = 132,000,0000.(132 Crore) As this amount is Gross amount, logically 30% of total gross should be the minimum amount one should add to the total Indian net collection. Which will make Rupee 39 Crore.

    So 211 Crore+39 Crore = 250 Crore, Collected by Dilwale till now.

    If the cost is 110 Crore, the profit till now would come
    250 - 110 = 140 Crore. Which means SRK's Dilwale has made a profit of
    127% till now.
    Outstanding achievement considering the constant appeal by a section of social media to boycott Dilwale for intolerance issue.
    Apart from the agitation out side the theaters across the country.

    This is called Star Power.

    ReplyDelete
  20. according to the info it doesnt matter its a flop or hit .. if its a flop its your country's loss and if its a hit thn your country's profit ... they dont want u people to argue for such silly things ... i m a big faN OF SRK BUT i didnt like this movie and happy new year .. but bajirao was really good thts y its performing well ... salman khans bajrangi was good too thts y it did well ... if the movie is good then it will do well no matter who are the stars ... looking at the things now both raees and sultan seems good movie and if they r good they will do great ... and if both srk and sk dont fight wid each other y u people r ?? they want their movies to perfrm well fr the betterment of the industry to entertain u people .. so stop bashing each other u r frm the some country so dont behave like rivals ...

    ReplyDelete
  21. according to the info it doesnt matter its a flop or hit .. if its a flop its your country's loss and if its a hit thn your country's profit ... they dont want u people to argue for such silly things ... i m a big faN OF SRK BUT i didnt like this movie and happy new year .. but bajirao was really good thts y its performing well ... salman khans bajrangi was good too thts y it did well ... if the movie is good then it will do well no matter who are the stars ... looking at the things now both raees and sultan seems good movie and if they r good they will do great ... and if both srk and sk dont fight wid each other y u people r ?? they want their movies to perfrm well fr the betterment of the industry to entertain u people .. so stop bashing each other u r frm the some country so dont behave like rivals ...

    ReplyDelete