PK is one of those rare films which can go all the distance if it is driven by power packed content. A splendid director in Rajkumar Hirani who has earlier given Munnabhai series and 3 Idiots, a lot is expected from him with PK. Plus there is superb star cast of Aamir Khan, Sanjay Dutt and Anushka Sharma as face value. On the other hand one must remember that box office is bleeding badly for last 40 days or so and needs a good boost to end the year on a high. Will PK will be that Sanjeevani (Medicine) to have some respite for exhibitors and distributors. Let's hope so.. So, without any delay let's do the box office prediction of PK.
PK running time is just over 150 minutes. It is one of the shortest film delivered by Rajkumar Hirani. Plus, film has got UA certificate from censor board. PK should have a huge screen release which should definitely be 4000+ screens this Christmas and New Year time. Hence, it has immense potential to do monumental business at box office.
Single Day Business Potential - PK has everything to be a game changer. With 4000+ screen release, ideally with 100% occupancy film should close on 45 crore nett in single day or even little more. But PK is releasing in normal weekend and if film has any chance to cross 40 crore nett in a single day then that has to be First Sunday only.
First Day Collection - PK is releasing on normal Friday. Despite that film should take a bumper opening at ticket counters. If all goes well PK should collect in the region of 25-30 crore nett for day one. If content is liked then film should pick up on later part of Friday and PK might head for little over 30 crore nett also for day one. That will be huge.
First Weekend Collection - Realistically PK will vow for a 100 crore nett opening weekend unless there is huge audience negativity for the film. Friday and Sunday will be huge and Saturday should also do well if content of the film is liked by audiences. So, it will be a big disappointment if film collect say anything less than 90 crore nett in first 3 days.
Lifetime Business - PK has every ingredient to be a game changer movie as far as Box Office is concerned. Film will zoom past 150 crore nett in first few days itself because of Star quotient and Festive season. But finally it comes to content which will determine where PK stands in all time grosser list. If film content is good to excellent then it has every chance of crossing 200 crore nett mark or even 225 crore nett. That means if film is liked by all it will not only challenge for Highest grosser of 2014, but also for all time.
First Day: Expected around 30 crore nett.
If accepted: 90-100+ crore nett.
If mixed: 70-89 crore nett.
If rejected: less then 65 crore nett.
If accepted: 220+ crore nett.
If mixed: 160-210 crore nett.
If rejected: Less than 150 crore nett.
Our Estimate: PK should go over 200 crore nett in India with star power of Aamir Khan and merit of Rajkumar Hirani as the director. Also if content is liked immensely film might go over 225 crore nett also and challenge Dhoom 3 for highest grosser of all time.
Verdict: Huge Blockbuster awaits.