October 17, 2014

Happy New Year Movie Box Office Prediction. Hit or Flop!

Happy New Year is one of the most awaited biggie of the year without a doubt. Film stars Blockbuster Jodi of Shah Rukh Khan and Deepika Padukone. Also giving them company is Abhishek 'Dhoom' Bachchan. Plus, there is Sonu Sood, Boman Irani and Vivaan Shah in pivotal roles. Film is directed by Farah Khan.

Happy New Year is releasing on 24th October in this festive season and is ready to set box office on fire. Film is set for biggest release of all time Worldwide. A bare minimum in the region of 4200-4300+ screens are expected in India, whereas a bare minimum of 800 is expected in Overseas. This is just a starting number, screen allocation has started and by 24th it is expected to be much higher than predicted level.
When last time SRK and Deepika came together in Chennai Express (2013) it literally broke all box office records then and created new one. Same is again expected with HNY. So, without any further delay let's start the box office prediction of Happy New Year.

Film Budget: Approx INR 130 crore.

Single Day Potential: Film is set for release in 4300-4500 screens in India as per estimations. Ideally film has potential of 43+ crore nett in a Single Day with 100% occupancy. 

First Day Collection: Since, film is set for release on 24th October, day after Diwali, it should take earth shattering start with 85-90%+ occupancy on average for the day. That means film has realistically chance of collecting 40 crore nett and even more. That means biggest single day record is in danger.

First Weekend Collection: Film will have record first weekend without a doubt and should boost historic numbers on Friday, Saturday and Sunday unless there is extremely negative word of mouth. Film is expected to collect 90-100+ crore nett in First Weekend with such enormous screen release. Anything less than that will be some kind of disappointment.

Lifetime Business: No doubt Happy New Year will open to record numbers in opening day and weekend. But lifetime collection is dependent mainly on word of mouth. Film will zoom past 150 crore nett in first few days itself because of Star Power and Festive mood. But after that it will need the content power to go further. Still in likelihood 200 crore nett looks a bare minimum for Happy New Year even with mixed report. If reports are good then film has every chance of going past 225+ crore nett and even challenging Dhoom 3 as highest grosser of all time.

Prediction:

First Day: Expected around 38-40 crore nett (should be new record).

First Weekend:

If accepted: 90-100+ crore nett.
If mixed: 70-90 crore nett.
If rejected: less then 65 crore nett.

Lifetime

If accepted: 225+ crore nett.
If mixed: 170-220 crore nett.
If rejected: Less than 160 crore nett.

Our Estimate: Happy New Year should go over 200 crore nett in India easily with star power of Shah Rukh Khan. But there is little question mark on content and direction capability of Farah Khan. If that is all good then expect collection to go over 225+ crore nett and be one of the biggest Blockbuster of all time.

Verdict: Huge Blockbuster awaits.

Let us know your prediction for this Diwali biggie!


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27 comments:

  1. weekend 110 crore lifetime 210 crore due to poor content

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  2. I'll decide after reviews. b/w Bigg Boss is become interesting day by day. 1 Hour is very less !!
    It is gaining huge TRPS. Itz success is bigger than last year.
    Keenly Waiting 4 Saturday episode. Salman Khan will Take Class of Few Inmates

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  3. 200cr will b a cake walk but after that all depends on content..... Fingers crossed... Lets see Wat farah Khan has got this time around.....

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  4. 1st day-50 cr
    2nd day-50cr
    3rd day-50 cr
    150 cr in just 3 day.
    all record is in danger now qki aa raha h king khan saal ki sabse badi aur bollywood ki sabse badi blockbuster ke sathh

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  5. Jaise ce ne box office ke saare record tode the isi tarah hny bhi saare rocord todegi

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  6. My view...If movie gets the expected opening in the range of 38-40 cr,week end will be 110cr if accepted,90-95 cr if mixed and 80 cr + if rejected since movie will get a bumper advance booking ....after that content will be king...but less than 200 cr will be disappointment....
    @Addatoday if you are confident of first day prediction then you are playing safe with weekend and lifetime prediction... :)

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  7. Each & Every BOX-OFFICE RECORDS will be shatters.
    KING OF BOLLYWOOD SRK is back with a bang.
    As per early reports HNY carries extreamly positive reviews & WOM.

    And those bastard Criminal Salman Fans are saying it will be flop let me remind them of The Epic Historic FLOP of 014 JAI Ho ..Ohh sorry FLOP HO

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  8. in tees maar khan farah khan robbed bharat ka khazana now in happy new year she trying to robbed in UAE diamonds, i think movie will go an average like bang bang

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    Replies
    1. it is happy new year of king khan..not bong bon hahaha

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  9. I didn't like the trailer. Music is also below average. He is a Superstar why doing such films man?

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    Replies
    1. virat@still it will cross 200+.. kon roke sakta es movie ko 200 crore kerne sai???

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  10. Are mere bachcho kyn itna pareshan ho apne BaaP se......Box oFfice aur overseas m saare record tootenge ,,,,,,,,,Beta apne baap s panga mat lo......

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  11. Replies
    1. it is happy new year..not jai ho ore veer..hahaha..silly

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  12. Replies
    1. hahaha vijaya ab kia karain salman k record tu tto jayega.. kuch socho yar record todne sai bachao..

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  13. Abe LodU is saal ki sabse badi blockbuster movie hogi.....

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  14. Is saal ki hi nahi mr. Mudasdir all time blockbuster hogi hny..rok saki to rok lo records tootne se.

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  15. ALL TIME BLOCKBUSTER! My prediction is 500 cr lifetime. 300 cr india, 200 cr overseas.

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  16. I think HAPPY NEW YEAR will cross easily KICK(215cr.)....DHOOM 3 net figure in India very high(261cr.)....Others 200 crores net grosser is CHENNAI EXPRESS(208cr.) & 3 Idiots(202.50cr.)....All figure in India with only for Hindi language....

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  17. hny will make 1000 cr...................on one can stop srk...................happy new year coming on 24 oct..............r u excited srkians? all records r in danger......................1000 cr sure................3 days to go.................cant control myself................i m super excited................

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