June 3, 2014

Holiday (2014) Movie Box Office Prediction. Hit of Flop.

Holiday - A Soldier is Never Off Duty starring Akshay Kumar and Sonakshi Sinha is about to release in 3 days time that is on 6th June, 2014 and this is right time to do the box office predictions. Akshay Kumar after having a super successful year in 2012 with Rowdy Rathore, Hosuefull 2 and Oh My God had a subdued year in 2013 with only Special 26 being a Semi Hit. 2014 is yet to have any releases of him, with Holiday being the first. 

For a long time in Akshay's career he is having a release in such long time. His die-hard fans are eagerly waiting for him with bated breath. Not only Akki's die hard fan, but post IPL season even movie goers are waiting to watch a good flick in theaters. Holiday is a remake of Tamil Film 'Thuppakki' (2012) which rocked box office in south India then. Film has a nice storyline and looks like everything going on for Holiday right now. So, will dry spell at Box office will end with the release of Holiday? Let's hope so.

Potential of Holiday - Advance Booking and Actual Screen Allocation of Holiday is still to start but as per assumption it should easily get around 3400-3500+ screens in India and a total of nearly 3800-4000 screens Worldwide. That means it being a Solo major release has immense potential to collect huge in a single day itself. However having potential and performing optimum to it is totally different ball game.

Budget of Holiday - No Official Stats are announced. Film landing cost inclusive of P&A should be around INR 75 crore at most.

Satellite Rights of Holiday - INR 35 crore (Zee)

Amount Recovered Pre-Release - An estimated INR 40-42 crore (Satellite + Music + Other) has been recovered by the makers even before the film is released in Theaters. That means there should not be difficulty for makers to recover their investment from the film as major chunk of amount has been already recovered from non-theatrical revenues. It only matter for distributors whether they can recover their amount or not.


First (1st) Day Collection of Holiday (2014) Movie - Since, it is a working day even an occupancy of 50% will be good start for the film. With such huge screenings of around 3400-3500, film should collect well over 15+ crore nett in first day. Yes, numbers are big but with wide release anything is possible. Touching a 20 crore nett on opening day however will be though. Realistically anywhere around 15 crore nett will be a good start for the film.

First Weekend Collection of Holiday (2014) Movie

If Accepted - 55+ crore nett.
If Mixed - 41-54 crore nett.
If Rejected - Less than 40 crore nett.

First Week (7 Days) -

If Accepted - 85-90+ crore nett.
If Mixed - 65-84 crore nett.
If Rejected - Less than 60 crore nett.

Lifetime Box Office Collection -

If Accepted - 125+ crore nett.
If Mixed - 80-115 crore nett.
If Rejected - Less than 70-75 crore nett.

Theatrical Verdict of Holiday -

Blockbuster - 180+ crore nett.

Super Hit - 135-179 crore nett.
Hit - 110-134 crore nett.
Average (Below Avg, Avg, Above Avg, Semi-Hit) - 85-109 crore nett.
Flop - Below 75-80 crore nett.
Disaster - Below - 65 crore nett.

Prediction - As per our assumption Holiday should touch or cross 100 crore nett as many things are going in its favour and should be a Hit at box office. Film has 14 days of solo run, which is a big thing nowadays. Rest is depend on content if that is good then even Jai Ho numbers are in danger and it should zoom past that to be the biggest grosser of the year for time being.

Tell us your thought on Holiday business prospect.

Note - Above post is on just based on predictions and approximations. Once film releases and after its significant run will put up the actual Box Office Status, which might vary from the predictions.

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