It is an uphill task really to predict or estimate an income of Bodyguard. For a potential blockbuster, all the ingredients needed is present in Bodyguard. It is rather unusual also since, opening weekend is going to be 5 days. Still will try to formulate few things to know how much potential it has to go all the way.
Salman Khan last two films (Dabangg, Ready) scored heavily in box office and crossed 100 crore nett mark easily. His fans waiting eagerly for his next release. Hype is tremendous. His film Wanted and Dabangg had relatively new team no big production house, but it went to become mega Hits. Now just imagine in Bodyguard he has an excellent director in Siddique, who has given numerous hits including original Hera Pheri in south. Music is liked by masses in a big way. 'I love you' song is infact a rage in youth.
Also nobody can deny Kareena Kapoor factor now. She has got a huge fan following after Jab We Met. Infact she is the only other actress except Asin (Ghajini, Ready) who has crossed 100 crore nett mark all India in two films (3 Idiots, Golmaal 3). Kareena is arguably is best actress in tinsel town now and with a author backed role for her in Bodyguard, expectation is sky limit.
Box Office Business Estimate - Whatever the story, direction and performance by lead actors, Bodyguard is going to take earth shattering opening at the box office. Since, it is made in control budget, it is going to get its return in its opening weekend itself.
Now if the film liked by masses then there is no stopping for Bodyguard. It should easily cross 100 crore nett mark all India and it will then be hattrick for Salman Khan and Kareena Kapoor as they will have 3 films above 100 crore nett mark and no other actor ever has crossed this mark in Indian Film Industry. Even if film falls badly it will definitely going to collect more than 70 crore nett mark because of star power. If film is liked immensely and great direction then even 3 Idiots lifetime business (202 cr nett) is in danger.
My prediction - It will easily break opening weekend, opening week record of Dabangg. 3 Idiots lifetime business record will be broken only if the story is good, with superb acting and direction. Music is thumbs up, so no problem as such in that line. Potential Blockbuster on the way.